ForConstructionPros.com

Article

  

Departments

Bookmark PageBookmark Page Most Read Stories TodayMost Read Most Emailed Stories TodayMost Emailed + -
Updated: January 19th, 2009 02:27 PM EDT

Construction Industry Holds Bright Spots Despite Dark U.S. Economy

Becky Schultz
By Becky Schultz
Editor

Clearly, it's not pretty out there. Conditions in the commercial construction market have weakened substantially, and the residential housing market seems to be continually in search of a new all-time low. So you may be wondering what "bright spots" could possibly still exist.

I'm not implying that the U.S. economy - and subsequently, the construction economy - will see a sudden recovery by year's end. But there are economists who are hopeful we'll see some economic indicators start to edge upward by mid-year. And while commercial construction tends to lag a general economic recovery, there are positive indications that a shot in the arm may be forthcoming for certain market sectors.

Not surprisingly, the outlook for commercial construction in 2009 is for negative growth. Predictions range anywhere from a 3% to 9% decline, with most estimates hovering around the 7% mark. Construction sectors likely to see double-digit drops include retail, office, lodging and manufacturing. Other key sectors are expected to remain flat or see single-digit declines for the year.

The anticipated reduction in project volume will mean stiffer competition for remaining projects, leading to tighter profit margins. On the upside, some of the weaker competitors may lowball themselves right out of business, resulting in less competition once the industry starts to recover. Materials costs for the projects still out there are also forecast to decrease 1% to 5%, according to AGC chief economist Ken Simonson. This could help to soften any blows to your bottom line.

As of mid-December, public works construction was expected to be down about 5%. And the American Road & Transportation Builders Association was forecasting U.S. highway and bridge construction to be flat to weaker, with state and local budgets offsetting any increases in federal funding.

1 2 next
[Get Copyright Permissions] Click here for copyright permissions!
Copyright 2009 Cygnus Business Media