Healthy Growth Projected for Nonresidential Construction Industry

American Institute of Architects projects 9% increase in construction spending in 2015 and 8.2% increase in 2016

American Institute of Architects
The greatest amount of activity was seen in the building of commercial properties – most notably offices and hotels – with an unusually high spike in manufacturing construction spending triggered by the surge in domestic oil and natural gas production.
The greatest amount of activity was seen in the building of commercial properties – most notably offices and hotels – with an unusually high spike in manufacturing construction spending triggered by the surge in domestic oil and natural gas production.

Despite the adverse weather conditions that curtailed design and construction activity in the first quarter of the year, the overall construction market has performed extremely well to date. The greatest amount of activity was seen in the building of commercial properties — most notably offices and hotels — with an unusually high spike in manufacturing construction spending triggered by the surge in domestic oil and natural gas production.  

Hotel Construction Dominates Construction Industry's June Pipeline

The American Institute of Architects’ (AIA) semi-annual Consensus Construction Forecast, a survey of the nation’s leading construction forecasters, is projecting that spending will see a nearly 9% increase in 2015, with next year’s projection being 8.2%.

“Buoyed mostly by the red-hot commercial sector, spending on nonresidential buildings should be close to $360 billion this year, approaching $390 billion in 2016,” said AIA Chief Economist, Kermit Baker, PhD, Hon. AIA. “But the demographic factors that are also fueling heavy demand for healthcare and education facilities are going to lead to a more balanced construction market in the foreseeable future.” 

Market Segment Consensus Growth Forecasts

 

2015

 

2016

         

Overall nonresidential building

 

8.9%

 

8.2%

         

Commercial / industrial

 

12.3%

 

10.6%

Industrial facilities

 

21.9% 

 

9.9%

Office buildings 

 

14.7% 

 

11.7%

Hotels

 

13.3% 

 

12.4%

Retail 

 

10.4% 

 

8.9%

         

Institutional

 

2.8%

 

5.6%

Amusement / recreation 

 

14.3% 

 

5.9%

Healthcare facilities 

 

2.4% 

 

5.8%

Education

 

1.5% 

 

5.9%

Public safety

 

-1.9%

 

2.9%

Religious

 

-5.3%

 

1.5%

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