Fed’s November-Meeting Task: Signal December Rate Rise

Federal-Reserve officials expect to raise rates before the end of the year, but economic conditions haven’t given the move a sense of urgency

Federal Reserve officials, wary of raising short-term interest rates amid the uncertainty surrounding the U.S. presidential election, are likely to stand pat at their November policy meeting and remain focused on lifting them in December.

Their challenge will be deciding how strongly to signal their expectation of a move at their last scheduled meeting of the year, Dec. 13-14. Market expectations suggest officials may not need to fire strong new warning shots: Traders in futures markets already place a 74% probability on a Fed rate increase by then, according to CME Group.

(more on timing of the Fed’s interest-rate raise . . . )

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