Mortenson Forecasts Chicago Construction Costs Increasing 4% in 2017

Strong price growth in 2016 expected to continue, as materials pricing and market activity continue to push costs up

Only Seattle, of the six markets general contractor Mortenson tracks, is expected to challenge Chicago's rate of construction cost increase in 2017.
Only Seattle, of the six markets general contractor Mortenson tracks, is expected to challenge Chicago's rate of construction cost increase in 2017.

After growing 4.3% in 2016, Chicago non-residential construction costs are expected to climb another 4% in 2017, according to the Mortenson Construction Cost Index. The rise puts Chicago near the top of the six major markets that constructor Mortenson measures, with only Seattle likely to edge out the Windy City with a 4% to 4.5% increase in 2017.

“We’re expecting a strong construction year in Chicago in 2017, although price increases may moderate a bit from 2016,” said Dennis McGreal, chief estimator for Mortenson in Chicago.

Rising material costs and overall market activity are spurring the price increases.

In the fourth quarter of 2016, costs escalated by 2.3% or more for six building component categories included plumbing systems, electrical systems and aluminum entrances, compared to the third quarter. Another six categories, including steel doors and frames and deck formwork, rose more than 1% in the same period. Manufacturers also are struggling to keep up with demand for curtainwall and glazing materials as well as some specialty equipment, such as large emergency generators and elevators.

In contrast, construction employment growth in Chicago has been slowing after reaching a peak late in 2014. Recently, employment has been relatively flat, a trend that should continue through the balance of the year.

In 2016, some notable construction projects included:

  • Completion of the Jeanne Gang-designed and Mortenson-built University of Chicago Campus North Residential Commons
  • Start of the $1 billion Vista Tower, slated to become Chicago’s third-tallest building
  • The substantially completed, 54-story office tower at 150 N. Riverside

Major Chicago projects this year include:

  • $500 million renovation of the Willis Tower, formerly the Sears Tower, the first in the building’s 43-year history
  • New McDonald’s headquarters in the Fulton Market area
  • Sterling Bay's planned redevelopment of the former A. Finkl & Sons steel plant in Lincoln Park

At the same time, some construction sectors, notably hospitality and multi-family residential, are slowing down as the market reaches saturation.

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