Commercial Construction Planning Activity Drops 10% in November

Slide in commercial planning activity propels Dodge Momentum Index to drop 3.7%, the second consecutive monthly decrease

The Dodge Momentum Index fell 3.7% in November to 119.9 (2000=100) from its October reading of 124.5.
The Dodge Momentum Index fell 3.7% in November to 119.9 (2000=100) from its October reading of 124.5.

The Dodge Momentum Index fell 3.7% in November to 119.9 (2000=100) from its October reading of 124.5. The Momentum Index is a monthly measure of the first (orinitial) report for nonresidential building projects in planning, which have been shown to lead construction spending for nonresidential buildings by a full year.

Previously, the Index had posted large month-to-month increases in July (+4.6%) and September (+4.9%). The loss of momentum seen in October and again in November is returning the Index to a level that’s more consistent with the gentle upward trend in planning activity that began in 2012. The decline in November for the overall Index was the result of a 10.2% slide in commercial planning activity, while projects entering planning in the institutional sector increased by 5.3%.

There were a total of seven projects entering planning in November, each with a value that exceeded $100 million. For the commercial building sector, the leading projects were a $160 million office building in Boston and a $130 million retail project in Somerville, Mass.

For the institutional building sector, the leading projects were a $325 million alteration of the American Museum of Natural History in New York and a $238 million hospital in Chula Vista, Calif.

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